@Article{Kane:2013:EsSiSu,
               author = "Kane, Rajaram Purushottam",
          affiliation = "{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)}",
                title = "An estimate for the size of sunspot cycle 24",
              journal = "Solar Physics",
                 year = "2013",
               volume = "282",
               number = "1",
                pages = "87--90",
                month = "Jan.",
             keywords = "Prediction, Sunspot cycle.",
             abstract = "For the sunspot cycles in the modern era (cycle 10 to the 
                         present), the ratio of R (Z)(max)/R (Z)(36th month) equals 1.26 
                         +/- 0.22, where R (Z)(max) is the maximum amplitude of the sunspot 
                         cycle using smoothed monthly mean sunspot number and R (Z)(36th 
                         month) is the smoothed monthly mean sunspot number 36 months after 
                         cycle minimum. For the current sunspot cycle 24, the 36th month 
                         following the cycle minimum occurred in November 2011, measuring 
                         61.1. Hence, cycle 24 likely will have a maximum amplitude of 
                         about 77.0 +/- 13.4 (the one-sigma prediction interval), a value 
                         well below the average R (Z)(max) for the modern era sunspot 
                         cycles (about 119.7 +/- 39.5).",
                  doi = "10.1007/s11207-012-0131-5",
                  url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11207-012-0131-5",
                 issn = "0038-0938 and 1573-093X",
                label = "isi 2013-11",
             language = "en",
        urlaccessdate = "04 maio 2024"
}